I had and lost my VIN. i still show 12/30 - 12/31- the SA i spoke with said i should get a real update/vin first week of january, and delivery by the 3rd week. these aren't set in stone, but it was what he believed, and he sounded knowledgeable.
i also though it took 2 to 3 weeks to get from Fremont to NJ, and he said based on the train port, it can actually be done in 6 days, and if the SC moves themselves, they can receive, inspect, and have the car ready for delivery the same day.
i will say i'm checking for a vin every hour or so just like i did for months (further out was only a couple of times a day) - and when i had the vin, i asked myself, "why did i check so much" - and now without one, i'm checking again, so i think the psychology of it is sort of like landing a reservation - you know you have the spot - and without the vin, at least i feel "forgotton" - i do feel somewhat reassured I was put on a "priority list" - like double secret probation in mash, or animal house, or both?
anyway, i think it's a matter of sitting tight.
Now that tesla (elon) has "no rush" for year end (despite what he says, i'm not sure about that) it seems we'll get our bump to january.
i was concerned about x production or the hertz deal killing the S production, that doesn't seem to be the case as far as I understand.
if i knew for sure i coudlnt' get the S for an additional 6 months, and if i needed a car pronto, i'd get a polestar or somethign else.
for me at least, i have time, so yeah, i can wait, and it seems like the wait will be short.
the worst part though is trying to sell or trade your current car - you don't want to be car-less for an extended period.
okay, end of therapeutic rant!