Welcome to Tesla Motors Club
Discuss Tesla's Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Cybertruck, Roadster and More.
Register

Search results

  1. erthquake

    Jeda hub alternative ? cold weather issues

    I've been having undetected storage issues every morning for almost a couple years. Rarely works in the morning. Fine driving home after work. Summer mornings are a bit better. I wonder if it has to do with the magnetic part of the plug contracting from the cold and the leads aren't contacting.
  2. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Tesla China Analyst just tweeted for the first time in over two months. He's usually quite accurate, but bearish. His early timing seems way too coincidental with the latest GF3 drone video, Gordo responding immediately within a minute of the post on a Sunday, and the fact that technicals have...
  3. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I suspect this is a new round of FUD intended for the new batch of retail investors jumping in recently. He parrots almost everything Gordo said today on Rob's cast today. Must've gotten all their talking points in order.
  4. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Wouldn't it be better to wait until after inclusion has happened (and after Battery Day which should follow a week or so after inclusion)? Waiting for higher SP helps Tesla reduce dilution.
  5. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    @Fact Checking does a great job explaining it on Twitter. Many of the names added to the S&P 500 didn't get a big bump in SP because they were already members of the S&P 400. Their shares were already owned by the index funds and just had to be transferred to the S&P 500 index. Those companies...
  6. erthquake

    Supercharger - Goleta, CA (LIVE 6 May 2020, 12 V3 stalls)

    I got a few photos of the site today as well. From SW corner looking north. From the SE corner looking west. From the south fence looking WNW. From the SW corner looking east.
  7. erthquake

    Supercharger - Paso Robles, CA - Golden Hill Road (LIVE, 28 V3 stalls)

    The four V3 stalls at SLO appear to be finished, but they still had “Coming Soon” covers on them when I charged there last Sunday. And I’d love a SC in King City. Salinas traffic can really slow down a trip going from and to the freeway during the daytime.
  8. erthquake

    Supercharger - Goleta, CA (LIVE 6 May 2020, 12 V3 stalls)

    Oooh! Tesla Energy! I wonder if that site will have Powerpacks to help balance the load during peak grid rates.
  9. erthquake

    Supercharger - Goleta, CA (LIVE 6 May 2020, 12 V3 stalls)

    Hopefully it’s a v3 Supercharger. That should really help with throughput.
  10. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    FWIW, I was told this by my service manager when I picked up my 2018 Model 3 after recently getting the HW3 retrofit.
  11. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Software is the biggest bottleneck for HW3 retrofits (at least for HW2.5 cars). If the software doesn’t install correctly, Tesla has held cars for two days before the software loads correctly.
  12. erthquake

    Supercharger - Goleta, CA (LIVE 6 May 2020, 12 V3 stalls)

    In case there was any doubt about the staging area behind Home Depot. I saw “Tesla” written on two of the pallets this afternoon. There’s also now a bunch of plastic PVC conduit and a cutting machine there now too.
  13. erthquake

    Supercharger - Santa Barbara, CA (LIVE 4 Oct 2021, 16 V3 stalls)

    Bristol Farms is supposed go in the old Vons at La Cumbre. But I think it’s still stalled because they need better storm water management. Whenever it opens it’ll help make up for the loss of Sears and the withering Macy’s.
  14. erthquake

    Supercharger - Goleta, CA (LIVE 6 May 2020, 12 V3 stalls)

    Totally agree on another Supercharger in King City.
  15. erthquake

    Supercharger - Goleta, CA (LIVE 6 May 2020, 12 V3 stalls)

    The Girsh side is mobbed on fall weekends AYSO soccer games, though.
  16. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It’s Tesla’s software that makes them superior. Their ability to smooth out spikes and instantly keep the grid frequency constant is what makes them special. And I suspect Battery day will reveal Tesla’s imminent ability to make those batteries far more cheaply than anyone else.
  17. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Could you tell if the cars loading were RHD?
  18. erthquake

    Tesla's 85 kWh rating needs an asterisk (up to 81 kWh, with up to ~77 kWh usable)

    I was just thinking of that video. And since it’s the LR RWD 3, Ben would have been able to use even more than 75kWh if Tesla has unlocked the extra 15 miles of range that they now have. Plus it was also quite cold then, as far as southwest climate goes. Ben was wearing a pretty thick coat. Is...
  19. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I believe they stopped producing MR packs in December.
  20. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Q2 still needs to be GAAP profitable (even if only $1) for S&P inclusion, as long as Q1 loss isn’t worse than $550M. And I’m not sure we can ever count on significant ZEV credit sales going forward unless the program is restructured so that OEMs can’t bank them as easily.
  21. erthquake

    Firmware 8.5

    No I didn’t preorder. Purchased during the sale.
  22. erthquake

    Firmware 8.5

    Yes. I'm not in the EA program. And 8.3 had been flawless for me, fwiw.
  23. erthquake

    Firmware 8.5

    I got 2019.8.5 tonight as well, coming from 8.3.
  24. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Is it possible Maxwell’s tech isn’t fully baked, but Tesla wanted to get them before they went under and lost their staff?
  25. erthquake

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    How do you know it's Detroit? Current path could also be Buffalo to GF2.
  26. erthquake

    Awesome iOS App called Stats

    Would be fun to chart efficiency vs tire pressure (average of all four wheels). Probably unwieldy to get meaningful trends with all the different wheel sizes though.
  27. erthquake

    Awesome iOS App called Stats

    Minor bug fix suggestion rawmean. Need a zero for the ones place digit in charge time remaining meter at the top of hour and at the 5-minute mark.
  28. erthquake

    Awesome iOS App called Stats

    I bought the app before my first road trip last week. Almost never spend much on apps, but this one is worth it. I also spent $10 on OBD app when I drove a gas car back in the day.
  29. erthquake

    Awesome iOS App called Stats

    Thanks for all the responses here. Just what I needed to see before deciding between Stats and Remote S.
  30. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Good catch. The data is on page 4 of the PDF: Detailed Results for All Brands in California Market. Missing brands from Rob’s table. Toyota: 17.1 Honda: 12.6 Ford: 8.9 Chevy: 7.8 Nissan: 6.6
  31. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I’d love to see this starting from July 1st. I’d bet Tesla is easily at the top of this list since then.
  32. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I think your overlooking the fact that when Tesla will re-stoke demand when they refreshe the S/X, probably sometime in 2019. That will maintain ASP while also leaping further ahead of the “competition.”
  33. erthquake

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    If many shorts start to mimic that strategy, this might enhance buying pressure into the P/D report. But he’s making the same mistake shorts have been making since the beginning of the Model S program. US Model 3 sales won’t run out of steam. Every new Model 3 owner is a free advertiser that...
  34. erthquake

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    I'm concerned there's a risk of some circular reasoning based on FredL's reports. I have some concern that Skabooshka might be Fred's source. It would be a way for Skabullshite to put out his side of things while flying under the radar, and Fred has been more than happy to slant negative Tesla...
  35. erthquake

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I think FredL might also be in Tesla's doghouse for publishing the S/X interior refresh renders. It's making him grumpy.
  36. erthquake

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Carsonight also suggested that GF1 can't yet maintain 6k/week because of Panasonic bottlenecks which are just now being resolved by them adding more cell machinery. If they're limited by packs, then it makes more sense to prioritize P/AWD orders.
  37. erthquake

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Deliveries are more important than production given that profitability is now on the table. They would have been able to deliver more cars in Q3 if they had hit 6k in August. But if P3Ds are a higher percentage of the deliveries than they anticipated, it might be a wash in terms of impact on Q3...
  38. erthquake

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Because Tesla guided profitability for Q3, I think deliveries are more important than production at this point. Carsonight has heard scuttlebut that demand was higher than expected for P3D. If that's true, 3Q profitability is possible even with lower than anticipated deliveries. I hope this is...
  39. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Easiest way to find the FUD is to search $TSLA and $TSLAQ. The $TSLAQ tag is a cesspool of shorts and bears. You'll quickly find plenty of material to combat there. Then tag your tweets with $TSLA and #Tesla so that a wider audience sees them in their feeds. This is also useful. How much FUD...
  40. erthquake

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    To be frank, I don't think any analyst on Wall Street does the kind of in-depth analysis that @luvb2b and others have done. And that is our advantage as investors in $TSLA.
  41. erthquake

    Near-future quarterly financial projections

    Effectively, there is a cliff edge in the production costs for the SR RWD because of fewer and less expensive parts. Compared to the currently available RWD version ($49k+), the $35k SR RWD has a smaller battery, no premium upgrades package, and uses less LTE bandwidth. In addition, by the time...
  42. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Awesome to see this rally to fight FUD on Twitter. I've been doing it for a few months now under a different handle, and it feels rewarding to have some impact. If you're a creative type, it can be really fun. I just do it in my spare time at night. Just be honest, factual, and do your best to...
  43. erthquake

    Found a LOT of Model 3's in a Tesla lot - Pictures inside

    About a month ago I saw two carriers heading north on 101 just south of Santa Barbara. They were likely coming from Burbank.
  44. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Every future buyer of Tesla private shares will be vetted by Tesla, just like SpaceX. Shorting won't be possible in any practical sense of the word.
  45. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    1. 0% 2. 0% 3. 20% 4. 80% Shorts will have to cover prior to the vote because shares will be recalled. Then, unlike the SCTY vote, shareholders won't release their shares because they need to hold onto them to convert to private. Relatively few shares will be available to cover. Also during the...
  46. erthquake

    General Discussion: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    Probably had more to do with the SA news spiking the stock price so high that the $420 buy level wouldn't look like an acceptable premium to current shareholders. Tesla has been working on this for a while. Elon might have hastily announced it to stop the stock run so that $420 backer wouldn't...
  47. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    If this ends up wiping out the shorts, how am I gonna get my daily update on the Lathrop lot?! :D
  48. erthquake

    TSLA Market Action: 2018 Investor Roundtable

    I'm doing the same with about 10% of my shares from ~$550 - $1250.
  49. erthquake

    Found a LOT of Model 3's in a Tesla lot - Pictures inside

    If that "source" is skabooshka, we shouldn't give it much validity. A bear with ulterior motives.