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You know the drill.... He/she who has the closest guess on how many vehicles Tesla delivers in the full year of 2017 will take home the crown! In this thread there will be no polling, rather everyone has to cast their vote as a total number of vehicles. Last day to cast/modify your vote will be...

I think Cattledog has the closest guess, only off by 360 units. Congratulations on a fine guess! Suggestion for next year's competition. Instead of having it as a poll where we can't pick a single winner, just a bracket of people, I think it's more fun if everyone guessed an exact number. We...

I'm assuming they must be calculating in dollar terms.

Glowing review of the Model X from The Drive. It made me want to buy an X even though I don't even need a car! Why The Tesla Model X Will Make You Want an American SUV

Look at this! Musk just commented on the high short interest! Wow. Anyone remember early 2013 and Musk comments on the short interest? We all know how that unraveled..... Elon Musk on Twitter @elonmusk what would you say to someone who is shorting your stock? $tsla Elon Musk: @Brianmrtz...

Boy are you gonna get an ulcer quickly trying to game TSLA..... I suggest buy and hold if you have a time frame more than 6 months.

Wow, talk about picking up pennies in front of the steam roller. Good luck though :)

The most important thing from that statement is that Tesla has resolved the ramp up of the MX and are at 750 vehicles / week. This will blow over in less than 24 hours and focus will again be on M3. This was a non event in the bigger picture.

Regarding the high short interested, and this is a bit out of my league. But, as others have pointed out before, not all the, circa 30 million, shares sold short are true shorts, i.e. only betting on the demise of TSLA. A chunk of those, the questions is how big, are short positions that are...

You know, that's something I've been thinking of these last days. I would not be surprised if Tesla somehow surprises the world and delivers the first M3 vehicle earlier than expected, say in Q3 2017. No one is expecting this, not even in anyone's wildest dreams. The main reasons would be...

Correct me if I'm wrong, as I'm not a M3 reservation holder. But in response for the people saying the wait list is growing so big that people get discouraged and don't want to "wait" for the car. I'm assuming most people would reason like me, in that I don't consider it "waiting" for anything...

Definitely after ER, (end May) there's so many positive aspects lined up that Tesla management can easily capitalize on.

I want to point out something else that's positive that seems to have been overlooked in regards to cash deposits for the M3 reservation. The US$1,000 for a reservation is only for customers in the US. In every other country the deposit is priced in the local currency. In Sweden for example, we...

I know it's early and all but just want to report in that some of the first pre-market trades came in at $248! This is going to be an interesting trading day, followed by an even more interesting month ahead of us. Lemonade time? Cheers everyone!

Where does one follow the live reservation count?

Yes I agree, you just said it in a much better and in depth way than I tried to do. Like you say, I think they will show the world the numbers when it favors Tesla the most. I just wanted to dampen expectations a bit for people who might be betting too aggressively with short term options on...

Yes, you're right, Q1 delivery numbers will be out in a couple of days. But as far as M3 reservation numbers, it's an assumption that we'll receive any reservation numbers or a tweet stating reservation numbers before Q1. I wouldn't bank on it but sit safely until the time when we can at least...

As far as share price is concerned, I think the big catalyst/movement will be in conjunction with the Q1 earnings a month and a half from now. That would be the perfect time for Tesla management to line up several positive announcements and by then they will have had 6 weeks of reservations...

From when the stores opened until there was no more queue, it was 2,5 hours. Funnily enough, half way through the queue, someone (something) set of the mall's fire alarm, (the shorts are getting desperate ), so everyone had to exit for 15 minutes before being allowed back inside the mall. In...

I just visited Tesla in Stockholm (Taby) and I counted 87 people in the queue as the store was opening, more than I expected!

Hey folks. I haven't been posting these past months, just been reading, but I want to chime in my thoughts on this much anticipated event that we've been waiting for for so long. I'm holding core shares, May, September and Jan 17 options. For this event I am not going to sell prior (except...

Still, it's a step in the right direction. Tesla has been absolutely silent the past two weeks or heck even more, in regards with MX. At least today we saw that they made progress with one of the biggest issues with the MX. I can't believe I'm actually arguing this point with fellow TMC members...

You're joking, right? And speaking of memories, you should then remember that Tesla has had problems with the FWD for more than 4 years, and it's been the cause of delays and money sinks. Today was a big day as they seemd to have solved a 4 year old problem, or at least part of it. I know Tesla...

Green amid a sea of red?! TSLA? What's next, pink elephants and flying unicorns?

This is best piece of Tesla news in a long time because it shows that Tesla is all about engineering and solving problems. If you read on the linked thread you can read from a couple of MX members being very impressed and happy with the OTA.

Congrats to you sir! :wink:

Wish you all the best buddy, hope to see you again in the forum soon. I hope that the quote "Darkest hour is just before dawn" will be true for you whatever you're going through in life.

I agree with this, at least that was the rules for the two previous years of the competition that I set back then. Of course that can change, but I think we should keep it as it makes it more fun to have one winner "take it all". In any case, the deadline for casting/modifying the vote is one...

So I think we can safely say that we have a winner for the 2015 prediction competion, if we don't get a too big final adjustment by Tesla in their upcoming Q4 report in February. With the current deliveries, as reported by Tesla today, the total stands at 50,580. Our winner is 'Lump' that...

Tesla has already achieved their yearly 50% YoY growth. Last year deliveries stood at 31,655, so with 50% that makes this years threshold 47,483. I think we can safely say that Tesla will beat that number.

It's a good point, and that's why I always encourage everyone to cast their vote as late as possible, which has always been 1 week after the Q4 earnings report (around the middle of February). People have the opportunity to modify their vote up and until then. This is to capture the Tesla full...

Something to keep in mind is that the markets have rallied the past 2 weeks whereas TSLA has been moving down in the same time period. The market will probably take a breather sooner or later and have a pullback/consolidation. Will this then drag TSLA down further with it? Don't mean to be...

In case people didn't know, bonaire won the previous full year prediction competition. Prediction competition for 2014

Seems like the downward pressure is continuing for TSLA. Breaking News - The Fly Tesla downgraded to Underweight from Equal Weight at Barclays Barclays analyst Brian Johnson downgraded Tesla Motors (TSLA) to Underweight saying the stock may be "challenged in the months ahead" with negative...

Even if we get a delivery beat, which I think Tesla will manage to do for Q3, the big question is whether or not Tesla will be able to pull off the 50,000 year target. We're already in Q4 and there's no information or clues whether the much needed ramp up to achieve the 2015 goal is on track or...

To those who talk about catching falling knives and buying at a discount, expecting TSLA to shoot back up any moment. Just remember that TSLA, like most other stocks, are subject to macro conditions. When I read here on the forum I get the impression that few even talk about the macro aspect and...

You can't just "release" a car. Everyone seems to be missing the point that auto manufacturing is extremely complex, irrelevant of how much money you have. Do you think Apple could set up a factory churning out 100k + cars a year in a short time frame? I don't. Setting up such a factory is an...

VSG stands for "vagnskadegaranti" which translates too "vehicle damage warranty".

That's not something you read everyday. Kudos to him for actually being man enough to admit he was wrong.

I feel the same way you do and I think that the share price will take off later this year / beginning of 2016. I think the important catalyst is when Tesla announces that they are ramping up to volume production rather than just showing the vehicle in a month. Sure, showing the vehicle will...

Actually, as I was watching CNBC today, this TV host was talking about a specific stock, which I can't remember the name of, that was halted on its uptick either today or at some other point, so it seems it's in place.

And we're green! Incredible, who would have thought so after seeing the price action this morning. Apparently TSLA has tripped the short sale restriction and it's in place until Wednesday, at least it says so in my Interactive Brokers platform.

Now that is impressive, hat's off to you sir!

As far as I see regarding the TSLA price action today, it mirrors the NASDAQ and most other stocks I watched.

Excellent analysis Vladimir!

I don't mean that it will be a totally different car design wise, sorry if I was unclear. I just think that the we'll see a nicer looking car than the mules as I think that TM has been covering up the mules with what not, to the point of them almost looking as whales. I think/hope TM can produce...

I'm with you on this one. I think the design of the X will be much better looking and different than the mules we're seeing. When Elon says the X will be the most awesome SUV/CUV then I am ready to be blown away, in all aspects. Also remember, Elon is known to be a perfectionist.

Maybe these kind of posts that are heavily skewed towards technical analysis would be better off in the appropriate thread? We can continue the conversation and predictions there perhaps? I don't mean to offend but the thread is there for that specific purpose. TSLA Technical Analysis

I think we're up for a week long rally. This setup brings back memories of January 2014 when Jerome pre-announced at the Detroit auto show. In other words, not to late to buy short term calls even after a huge spike up at opening today. I'm buying weeklies hand over fists at open.

Or, keep investing the profit in TSLA or other companies that work for the betterment of humanity. That'll offset some of the bitter after taste :smile: