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  1. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Yes, A and B are ask (buy) and bid (sell); on put, it correlates to bearish and bullish as indicated on your column 6.
  2. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    The day is still young...
  3. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    ...leading to over 24M in the first hour block...
  4. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Is the white bar the daily 34EMA?
  5. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I still can't (log in).
  6. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    For the first time going into ER I felt prepared...and felt good about it...which was uncommon as I have been too bullish; the rug pull set me back quite a bit as well.
  7. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Seems daily 34-EMA...or maybe the confluence with 50-SMA...is holding.
  8. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Agreed. It is all about the rate (and when the cut will begin). Per the dual mandate and JP's mention of the need to turn the focus to that on unemployment, today's data reinforces the need to reduce rate before it gets worse bad. It (the narrative on the need to focus on unemployment) seems...
  9. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    What is your day job? All we hear about is playing music, drinking, and traveling...aside from trading.
  10. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    DL, Haven't heard from you in a while. Hope all is good!
  11. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Yoona, I continue to struggle with trying to reconcile Vanna (MM favoring $190-$200) and MP ($180); I know you don't think much of MP and the value it brings.
  12. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I suspect yesterday's clear breach of the 34-day EMA is of significance and will be of meaningful near-term support.
  13. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I did the same; mine is only 10x @ $140 however.
  14. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    This bear is already trapped; just looking for some wiggle room to break free...with limited injury.
  15. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    ...but it gives you more time...
  16. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Welcome to the club! You're not alone.
  17. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Hourly MACD has been red (begun narrowing) since the final third of yesterday; perhaps local peak has been reached or is near.
  18. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Seems I have experienced "culled" and "fleeced"; still around to fight another day though...so "maimed" but not "slaughtered"...yet.
  19. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    More engaged captures it, albeit at a high level...so it fits. It's EM using (seemingly all) available narratives, willingness to play the game, being less...himself. Overall it's a good sign...I think. But the change is a bit unnerving. Seems a bit tricky to take all at face value.
  20. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    ...and reality of Q2 coming into focus as smoke clears...
  21. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    It may be true that there are sheep...and there are shepherds. Maybe it's herding at work.
  22. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    FWIW I share Max's sentiment. It was clear EM pulled a 180...and it wasn't by accident; it isn't unhealthy to at least be intrigued by that.
  23. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    It is but an indicator of stagflation, a bad indicator nevertheless.
  24. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Thanks for noticing and sharing this. It seems in a downtrend, it plays a role in resistance. The same effect was observed from end of 9/22 to end of 1/23. I'm paying close attention to see if there will be significance to TSLA breaking through this time.
  25. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I'm protecting my shares (that I have held for a while) with net neutral positions (mixture of near to long dated -&+calls and puts)...with time as my only friend. Given the stock's volatility, I'll try to leverage timing the best I can. Good luck to all!
  26. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    You keep saying "Wendy's" but I can't help seeing this.
  27. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Feels a bit eerie not hearing from Jim H. & dl today...
  28. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    FWIW, I second adiggs and would add that if buy-write is a long-term trading strategy for income, it's key to time the building of the "engine". For the companies we like and know well (as adiggs said in the past regarding owning and experiencing Tesla / FSD is almost a requirement to trading...
  29. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Thanks for taking one for the team!
  30. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    At the risk of being redundant, selling puts (to complete your calendar spreads) or buying calls are bullish moves by themselves; either would make sense if you think SP will move up from here. If you expect further downside, there will be a better time to complete the spreads.
  31. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Heard Steve Jobs wasn't very nice either. One wouldn't have wanted to be caught in the same elevator as he / she could have been fired by the time the ride ended.
  32. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Yoona, FWIW, I would consider (study the numbers & consequences of potential outcomes) (1) selling aggressive puts or (2) cover the calls with +C’s…versus buying shares. The trick for me with doing these vertical (or horizontal or diagonal) spreads is their timing; at the risk of overstating...
  33. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    The time to get in with +c's / -p's is before ER; it's a month away so six handle is possible.
  34. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    This (log scale) view helps. As April is still materializing, from this line, I can visualize its continuation toward that at ~$134...or lower.
  35. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Per your net Vanna, MM will continue to try (trading timed jabs) toward ~$157 today.
  36. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Your 50% would be different than mine; good discipline but seems arbitrary. I'm with you in believing TSLA will trade lower post ER than current level. Would love your thought on "gap fill" at ~$136 and ~$116 levels. I'm leaning toward switching from short to long at ~$136.
  37. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Between the title of the report and Elon (and others I’m sure) not interested in reading beyond it, I can understand his immediate response…if it’s true that it has not been scrapped.
  38. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Makes good sense. From all we're sensing / processing, SP should be flat to lower post ER (~$150). You may have the chance to rinse and repeat for another week or two out as momentum should continue (lower).
  39. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    How much would your friend wish it were "4/26"? I would consider rolling it at even.
  40. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I’m asking because I don’t have the information. How well did these analysts do in their ongoing valuations of Amazon back in the day? How well informed were they of say Amazon’s cloud investment…and did they know / were they close on the value and power of cloud? I wonder if there were talks of...
  41. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Wonder how many mistakes an average NY city taxi driver makes a week. What’s the appropriate target for autonomous driving? Is it statistically significantly better than average human driver or it perfect (zero or 1 mistake per X years)?
  42. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Nice. What kind? Time for mine. I’ll catch up to you.
  43. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I call this week goes to Vanna. Like all good things, this stressful week came to its end…and we survived to battle the next one. Time to begin beer session.
  44. ChiefRollo

    Deliveries of $80k X?

    Is it true that waiting a second or two helps a little?
  45. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    If Tesla had stayed focused on only things that are purely automotive related, not even FSD related endeavors and expenses, its earnings over the years and by now would be better. Narrative would be what? How different would it be? Could it be “yes, Tesla is a really good automotive company and...
  46. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    Just watched the video; I’m more confused than ever so I’ll just stick to what you say. Would love to join your 1%.
  47. ChiefRollo

    Wiki Selling TSLA Options - Be the House

    I’m so desperate I’d smoke “range” thinking it’s a “magnet” for the time being.