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Commercial Crew Transportation Capability (CCtCap) SpaceX and Boeing Developments

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A couple of months ago when Elon did his Boca Chica Starship presentation I got interested in comparing the differences between Dragon 2 versus Starliner. I was struck by the total number of rocket thrusters used by each spacecraft. The Crew Dragon has a total of 26. It has 8 SuperDraco engines for aborts and 18 Draco for attitude control, orbital maneuvering, and deorbiting.

Starliner is equipped with 4 for potential launch aborts, 20 to support orbital maneuvers, 28 for on-orbit maneuvering and ISS reboost, and finally 12 for atmospheric re-entry. A total of 64. Amazing number, necessary or just added complexity?

To quote Elon during his September TX presentation, "The thing I’m most impressed with when I have design meetings at SpaceX is, ‘What did you undesign?’ Undesigning is the best thing. Just delete it, that’s the best thing."
Post from December 2019.....In a field of 64, it only takes 1 to screw the pooch. Boeing complexity coming home to roost.
 
Ars: Boeing is troubleshooting a small helium leak on the Starliner spacecraft

They are not going to physically repair the helium leak. Hmm.
According to NASA, engineers plan to address the helium leak using "spacecraft testing and operational solutions." In other words, managers don't anticipate any need to physically repair the leak. "As a part of the testing, Boeing will bring the propulsion system up to flight pressurization just as it does prior to launch, and then allow the helium system to vent naturally to validate existing data and strengthen flight rationale," NASA officials wrote in a blog post Tuesday. Flight rationale is NASA-speak for gaining confidence in understanding a problem and getting comfortable it would not pose an added risk during the flight.
So it remains to be seen whether or not that approach will work.
 
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ars Technica: The first crew launch of Boeing’s Starliner capsule is on hold indefinitely

The space agency did not describe what options are on the table, but sources said they range from flying the spacecraft "as is" with a thorough understanding of the leak and confidence it won't become more significant in flight, to removing the capsule from its Atlas V rocket and taking it back to a hangar for repairs. Theoretically, the former option could permit a launch attempt as soon as next week. The latter alternative could delay the launch until at least late summer.
The odd thing to me is that the helium leak was detected during the May 6 launch attempt but it did not stop the countdown, the Atlas issue did. Supposedly that issue has been resolved. And then:
In a statement last week, NASA described the helium leak as "stable" and said it would not pose a risk to the Starliner mission if it didn't worsen
Yet clearly NASA is so concerned about it that they will no longer commit to a new launch date. It appears to be a more serious problem than they are willing to admit to publicly.
 
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Sucks to be Boeing right now.

Although admittedly, the aircraft issues largely seem to be their own doing in that they've allowed themselves to go from an "engineering first" company to one run primarily by bean-counters and MBA types.

I wonder how much of that has infected the aerospace side.

(If you never hear from me again after this post critical of Boeing, please contact the authorities)
 
Was there anybody around who wasn't feeling a bit uneasy living with this helium leak from the get-go? The language bounced around has been a mix of....studying the problem, understanding the leak, getting comfortable with the issue....Jeez, I don't believe SpaceX wouldn't have sat on their hands this long before deciding a course of action.
 
Was there anybody around who wasn't feeling a bit uneasy living with this helium leak from the get-go?
Nah. Helium is tough to work with, and this sort of thing is apparently standard (thus the "cycle the valve to clear the chatter"). I assume that the complication is in the politics around the flight, and the management structure used. These are delicate times for ULA and Boeing.

Note that ULA doesn't change the state of the propellant load hardware once crew are onboard. In sharp contrast, SpaceX doesn't start loading propellant until the crew are onboard. So if SpaceX saw the same anomaly, they'd just cycle the valve, see that the chatter was gone, and continue. In the long run, SpaceX may kill ten times more people with their approach. For now, they free of crew accidents.
 
Centaur's buzzing oxygen valve and Starliner's helium leak are two different problems. And your reasoning is backwards. SpaceX build and know their systems. That knowledge is most parts with ULA's and Boeing's subcontractor or subcontractor's subcontractor. And their communication don't seems to work in best possible way, like seem to be case with L3Harris/AjetRocketdyne and Boeing.
 
Sucks to be Boeing right now.
At this point Boeing has spent over TWICE as much on their Commercial Crew program as SpaceX has, and they are as far behind time wise as SpaceX has been actually lofting Dragons with crew to LEO and with a perfect safety record. In addition, SpaceX has also been sending tourists to LEO as well as NASA astronauts. I predict that Starliner will never carry a space tourist.

By any objective standard, the Boeing program is a failure. It’s beyond embarrassing; it’s a disaster for Boeing.

It seems likely that eventually Boeing will manage to do its contracted NASA missions (though I would not bet money on it). But who is ever going to make a decision in the future to use Boeing for crewed space flight? Outright bribery would be required, and my expectation is that Boeing would not take on any new crew contracts anyway.
 
June 1st, anyone?

Mission managers from NASA, Boeing, and ULA (United Launch Alliance) continue to evaluate a path forward toward launching the agency’s Boeing Crew Flight Test to the International Space Station. The teams are now working toward a launch opportunity at 12:25 p.m. ET on Saturday, June 1, with additional opportunities on Sunday, June 2, Wednesday, June 5, and Thursday, June 6.

 
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They changed the Centaur's valve, but not service module helium valve (doghouse valve, port manifold 2). Valve works even if seal deteriorate more, and leak is still tolerated. (If service module would needed to be de-staged, it would be the months long delay, rumored before)

Other words; risk caused by helium leak is low and acceptable...