[moved from the Fisker Atlantic/Nina thread]
Thanks for the welcomes, (=
I agree with you Iz. I've always been of the opinion the the extended range model is at its zenith today. It will never make more sense than today. With each incremental improvement in battery tech, and as the price falls, the extended range model is eroded to some degree.
However, I don't believe in our lifetimes, we will see gas being ignored by the masses...there will always be a need (and a subset) that will demand it, but over time, the sliver of the population that can get themselves into a BEV today, will expand fairly quickly. Maybe 5-7% by the end of the decade?
That being said, the next 2-3 years will see little to no damage done to ICE vehicles by the BEV, much less the various extended range platforms. We are seeing the luxury/premium buyers trend into more things 'green', like hybrids, with some EREV/BEV demand, but there is a long, long way to go. I think the second wave/2nd gen of battery tech will be the first real salvo into the regular mass market of petrol cars (and by association, the EREV platform) .
Right now, BEVs/EREVs only 'sorta' make sense to maybe a third of the luxury car buying population (much less for entry level/middle class demo) , thats a long way from serious market penetration...now if you can double up on the range and hold pricing in place against inflation over the next 5-7 years, then its a different game.
Welcome aboard Jay!
Welcome Jay. That overlap will become more apparent as battery range increases. Eventually, the luxury/green hybrid segment will begin to seriously look at BEVs.
Thanks for the welcomes, (=
I agree with you Iz. I've always been of the opinion the the extended range model is at its zenith today. It will never make more sense than today. With each incremental improvement in battery tech, and as the price falls, the extended range model is eroded to some degree.
However, I don't believe in our lifetimes, we will see gas being ignored by the masses...there will always be a need (and a subset) that will demand it, but over time, the sliver of the population that can get themselves into a BEV today, will expand fairly quickly. Maybe 5-7% by the end of the decade?
That being said, the next 2-3 years will see little to no damage done to ICE vehicles by the BEV, much less the various extended range platforms. We are seeing the luxury/premium buyers trend into more things 'green', like hybrids, with some EREV/BEV demand, but there is a long, long way to go. I think the second wave/2nd gen of battery tech will be the first real salvo into the regular mass market of petrol cars (and by association, the EREV platform) .
Right now, BEVs/EREVs only 'sorta' make sense to maybe a third of the luxury car buying population (much less for entry level/middle class demo) , thats a long way from serious market penetration...now if you can double up on the range and hold pricing in place against inflation over the next 5-7 years, then its a different game.
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