My current understanding is that the Main Body Assembly is currently where the new bottleneck is at in the factory, which will be upgraded in Q1, Next will be the Paint Shop (but I don't know what their current run rate cap through there is...) both of these seemed to be critical to getting them up to 2000 a week by the end of the year (based on Elon's comments) which is why he wouldn't give a higher number than 60k, since they still had around 5 months before we started 2015. It is very likely that number will change for the positive. I am personally just hoping for 70k because that will be a simple doubling of the production over this year.
So my initial feeling is that MS won't be AS affected by this, since I feel like they will be giving around 50k production to the MS. That should be a nice steady ramp up, and should pull the wait times down (for now), the MX on the other hand, it is going to be a long wait... at some point they might shift the MS wait times just a bit to allow them to squeeze out the MX a bit faster and pull the backlog down. Once they meet a parity on wait times, they will likely do whatever they can to make the wait the same across the two models. But I don't see that happening until maybe 2016...
If they scale in a linear fashion from 1000 per week to a "100,000 yearly run rate" by the end of 2015, they would produce 76k cars in 2015 for a 52 week run or roughly 72k for a 50 week run.
(the production would increase by 18 cars week over week)
As mentioned above, this of course would all depend if there is some other bottleneck in the factory which might affect the ramp up.
Reserved Model X - Seq: 8009, Reservation date: 20-Feb-2014
Power provided by a SolarCity Array of 11.3kW
Reserving a Model ☰ - as soon as tesla takes reservations
Reserved a Model X production last night (about 16 hours ago). Got EU P2754. I've updated the wiki post.
Model X EU P2754, might consider switching to AWD Model S.
Reservation sequence number
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