So I think we can safely say that we have a winner for the 2015 prediction competion, if we don't get a too big final adjustment by Tesla in their upcoming Q4 report in February.
With the current deliveries, as reported by Tesla today, the total stands at 50,580.
Our winner is 'Lump' that predicted 51,888 almost a year a go. He is off by only 1,308 deliveries.
Our second runner up is 'maoing' with a prediction of 52,800 deliveries, off by 2,200 deliveries.
Third place goes to last years winner, 'bonaire' with a prediction of 47,690, off by 2,890 deliveries.
Congratulations Lump! I think we might have a TMC cap as the first price :smile:
As for the 2016 full year prediction competition, I'll open up a thread tomorrow. The rules we played by the past two years have been that the voting closes one week after the February quarterly report so as to give everyone a fair chance to take TM's guidance into consideration, so we've got plenty of time. Thanks for participating everyone and hopefully we'll get more participants in the next competition.
For 2016 competition I would like to suggest that we get to predict a separate global total number of Tesla Model S deliveries, AND a separate global total number of Tesla Model X deliveries.
How to do that?
How about two separate competitions?
And each competition will have it's own thread, so that nothing will get mixed up.
Two separate results, and (probably) two separate winners.
After all, there are two different vehicles now, whereas in 2015 we already knew that there would be very few Tesla Model X deliveries (not more than 1,000).