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What will the TSLA share price be at closing December 30th 2016?

What will the TSLA share price be at closing December 30th 2016?

  • <100

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 100-125

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 125-150

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 150-175

    Votes: 0 0.0%
  • 175-200

    Votes: 2 2.9%
  • 200-225

    Votes: 1 1.4%
  • 225-250

    Votes: 2 2.9%
  • 250-275

    Votes: 1 1.4%
  • 275-300

    Votes: 11 15.9%
  • 300-325

    Votes: 20 29.0%
  • 325-350

    Votes: 7 10.1%
  • 350-375

    Votes: 12 17.4%
  • 375-400

    Votes: 6 8.7%
  • >400

    Votes: 4 5.8%
  • I have no clue

    Votes: 3 4.3%

  • Total voters
    69
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I think we have a very exciting year ahead of us, due to many reasons:

- Model X ramp-up
- Tesla becomes cash flow positive
- Model 3 reveal
- Tesla Energy ramp-up
- Gigafactory cell production
- Oil price recovery?

And I think TSLA will do very well this year as a result. I would be surprised if we don't see the share price go over 300 this year, so I'm betting on 318.27 USD per share at closing on friday the 30th of December. :)
 
I agree with you, however I'm slightly more conservative. I know for a fact it will be 298.37 USD.
(Of course I have no clue - but where would be the fun?)

Reasoning:
- Gigafactory will experience slower ramp than hoped
- A delay announced for Model 3
- Countries will start axing EV incentives
- At least one legacy car maker is starting to make a compelling electric car (<- take this statement as indicator that I'm a hopeless delusional optimist!)
 
I agree with all the points made by Yggdrasil. I would vote higher but we will be nearing the 200K limit which marks the end of Fed subsidies. So $314.58.

Keep in mind the 200k limit is US total deliveries - not worldwide total deliveries. The US EV incentive will go well past '16 for Tesla. Even when the 200k "limit" is reached, that just marks the start of a timer for the full incentive, and then a series of quarters with reducing incentives (I think it phases out for each company over 1 year once they reach the 200k threshold for US deliveries).

I DO believe that the incentive as currently written will be coming to a close for Tesla not long after Model 3 launch.