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Model S Reservation Tally

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Joel

Active Member
Mar 24, 2011
1,266
279
Michigan
This thread is intended to track Model S reservations.

If your reservation number is greater than the reservation number listed below, please post 1) your reservation number / date received 2) region and 3) type: Signature or General Production.

The Model X Reservation Tally can be found here: Model X Tally

To add / view the locations of Model S and Model X reservations holders, visit: Tesla Model S & X Reservations

The instructions to add to the reservation World Map, can be found here: World Map of Model S Reservation Holders

Delivery Update can be found here: Model S Delivery Update

Here is an updated collection of the numbers posted by members on various threads and forums (i.e., these numbers are to be taken with a grain of salt):

US
SSL 249 (January 4, 2012)
S 1,353 (October 19, 2012)
R 532 (October 30, 2012)
P 19,711 (March 3, 2013)

Canada
SSL 23 (July 18, 2012)
S 177 (September 23, 2012)
P 677 (February 1, 2013)

Europe/Asia
S 500 (July 2, 2012)
R 269 (November 25, 2012)
P 2,891 (February 27, 2013)

UK
S 20 (October 9, 2012)
P 75 (December 21, 2012)

Hong Kong
S 28 (September 27, 2012)
R 2 (July 9, 2011)
P 168 (January 11, 2013)

Australia
S 38 (August 18, 2012)
P 48 (December 12, 2012)

Gross Total: 26,761 - March 3, 2013

Net Total: 17,582 - March 3, 2013*

Official Deliveries: 132 - September 23, 2012**
Official Deliveries: 250 - October 3, 2012 Announcement***
Official Deliveries: 253 - 2012 3rd Quarter - November 5, 2012 Earnings Call ****
Official Deliveries: 2,400 - 2012 4th Quarter - February 20, 2013 Earnings Call *****

* = Net Total subtracts the 6,529 known Signature cancellations/downgrades unit differential & 2,650 Deliveries announced at February 20, 2013 Quarter Earnings Call (See ***** Link)
** = Official Deliveries stated in September 23, 2012 SEC Filing - http://sec.gov/Archives/edgar/data/1318605/000119312512402293/d413621dex991.htm
*** = Official Deliveries stated in October 3, 2012 Blog Post - An Update from Elon Musk | Blog | Tesla Motors
**** = http://files.shareholder.com/downloads/ABEA-4CW8X0/1741885587x0x611344/42cb80fa-6f64-4e48-93ff-2da29de21acc/Q3%202012%20Shareholder%20Letter%20Final.pdf
*****http://files.shareholder.com/downlo...-9c9e-16a8dda99a19/Q4'12 SHL 022013 final.pdf

S = Signature Series (Model S)
SSL = Signature Special List (Model S)
R = Roadster Owner/Friends and Family
P = General Production (Model S)
Red = Signature Series Sold Out for Region
 
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And keep in mind in Europe they don't have prices or have seen even the Alpha yet. When people will know a lot more about how the car looks THEN I expect the sales to skyrocket in Europe.

Cobos
 
Cobos, I don't think Europe will be as big as the US. In spite of higher gas prices and much lower relative cost ( compared with other small sportcars) when taxes are included for Roadster, sales in Europe lag. The prototype has been shown here, not the alphas.
 
The economics of gas vs electricity are largely irrelevant at the $120k+ sportscar level.
However at $50k,$60k even $70k it is relevant because a $50k Model S is cheaper to own after 10 years than a car that costs half as much.
Even a $70k Model S is cheaper after 10 years than a car that cost much much less ( $45k midrange luxury car ).

My argument ( considering only fuel price and depreciation, but ignoring maintenance ) is here: Electric Car Costs | High Speed Charging
 
It was a guess based on a bunch of things:
1) Tesla believes they can make a 56kWhr Roadster pack for less than $12k by 2016.
2) Replacing a Model S battery after 8 years puts you in 2020, 4 more years of improvement past 2016.
3) Elon Musk claiming an 8% improvement in batteries per year.
4) LG Chem CEO saying cell costs will decline four fold over the next10 years in 2010
 
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It's from Tesla offering the pre-paid battery replacement deal for $12k when you buy a Roadster.
If I had done that in 2009, the earliest I could collect the battery is 2016. Every year earlier they charge me an additional $2k, every year after they give back $1k.
I should have calculated some rate of return on Tesla holding the $12k for 7 years - but I think the rate is thin, and I think they have built in nice profit margin on the deal without that anyway - I could be wrong.
 
Sorry, but my OCD is showing... every time I look at these numbers, it is killing me that they are out of order. I know it is a minor point, but the numbers should be in the following order: S, then R, then P.

I will have to stop following this thread until that is corrected :wink:
 
Sorry, but my OCD is showing... every time I look at these numbers, it is killing me that they are out of order. I know it is a minor point, but the numbers should be in the following order: S, then R, then P.

I will have to stop following this thread until that is corrected :wink:

Should the order be: R, S, then P? Will R have priority over S?