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Thread: Model S Reservation Tally

  1. #1991
    I just reserved another model S...reservation number 14896. My garage is now full!

    According to the other threads, the non-performance Model S 7096 I configured will be finished early Feb. 2013. I also have Model X 1142.

    I sure hope my Solarcity solar array and HPWC get here soon.

  2. #1992
    60kWh 4.3 fw Discoducky's Avatar
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  3. #1993
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    Quote Originally Posted by Discoducky View Post
    Name:  model s ramp.PNG
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    The simple chart speaks volumes. And as good as thnigs look, given that the growth rate is decidedly non-linear, it is still under-representing the underlying dynamics of demand.

    Just have to thank those who have put in the time to assemble stats. I have nothing to offer in return but my appreciation.

  4. #1994
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    Quote Originally Posted by strangethingintheland View Post
    The simple chart speaks volumes. And as good as thnigs look, given that the growth rate is decidedly non-linear, it is still under-representing the underlying dynamics of demand.
    In other words, two shifts coming next year.

    I think that is what will happen; they will make sure one shift is running smoothly at full capacity (20k), then start a second shift.
    Model S Reservation Aus P30 for delivery in New Zealand. Blue, 19", pano roof, tech, air suspension, textile seats.

  5. #1995
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    Quote Originally Posted by PeterW View Post
    In other words, two shifts coming next year.

    I think that is what will happen; they will make sure one shift is running smoothly at full capacity (20k), then start a second shift.
    I agree. Elon stated publicly already that he wanted to push the production rate well above 20k/yr. While the MT COTY award was clearly a huge catalyst, there are still so many other drivers yet to kick in-- lots of cars soon on the street with friends and family getting rides and drives; big wave of additional stores opening; beginning of serious marketing and shipments to EU and Asia; what else?
    "Constraints are gifts to creative people."

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    PLEASE NOTE: Posts are the copyrighted intellectual property of the author, and are intended as part of a conversation within this forum. My words may NOT be quoted outside this forum, without my expressed consent.

  6. #1996
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    Quote Originally Posted by Vger View Post
    I agree. Elon stated publicly already that he wanted to push the production rate well above 20k/yr. While the MT COTY award was clearly a huge catalyst, there are still so many other drivers yet to kick in-- lots of cars soon on the street with friends and family getting rides and drives; big wave of additional stores opening; beginning of serious marketing and shipments to EU and Asia; what else?
    Yep, all true. Tesla also said they wanted to get the wait time down to 3-4 months. Without a second shift the wait for customers will get longer not shorter. I think the second shift will start before June 2013 (maybe sooner).
    Model S Reservation Aus P30 for delivery in New Zealand. Blue, 19", pano roof, tech, air suspension, textile seats.

  7. #1997
    Quote Originally Posted by PeterW View Post
    Yep, all true. Tesla also said they wanted to get the wait time down to 3-4 months. Without a second shift the wait for customers will get longer not shorter. I think the second shift will start before June 2013 (maybe sooner).
    They are already running 2 shifts.

  8. #1998
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    DrDave +1
    I think, it's more likely that they built up a second line. The documentary (NatGeographic) said, that they programmed 130 Robots! That's a number...

  9. #1999
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    Quote Originally Posted by mcornwell View Post
    Congrats Kauai. I think there are going to be many (2) Model S garages once owners get a taste.

    Which day did you reserve? Either reservations slowed down the past few days, or you reserved on the 26th or early on the 27th.
    I reserved early on the 27th. Sorry for the slow reply. Busy at work.

  10. #2000
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    Actually, Tesla is gearing up for a third shift. If you look at the TM website/career section, they are hiring CDC operators for the "Graveyard Shift". Having more CDC operators would be the first step in having a full graveyard shift. Not sure if they are hiring for other disciplines in the graveyard shift. Most other positions that listed a shift listed the swing shift.

    It was also interesting that TM had many positions that were temp or temp to perm, so it seems like TM is being smart about how they hire (in case current demand is not sustainable in 2013). IMO, TM will be able to keep up demand, as they really have not done any advertising/marketing, and current demand is from word of mouth/good press/great reviews. Once they really market the car, they may see another upward demand spike. Plus, they have only partially turned on the spigot for international demand.

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