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Thread: Model S Reservation Tally

  1. #1421
    TSLA will win Norbert's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by Zythryn View Post
    But those dates are dates of configuration, correct? That would give a 30 day window, you could easily have a mixed up order.
    However, I don't want to be difficult, and I very well may just be misunderstanding.

    Let me ask this. Ignoring out of country orders and production...
    My understanding is that there are 1000 signatures.
    If we had 1-250SSL and
    1-1273SL
    That adds up to over 1500 Signatures? Now I know there are some deferments, and probably a few cancelations, but 500 or so?
    Or, are there 250 Special Signatures AND 1000 Signatures in the US?
    My understanding is that reservation lists were compressed a few times until about the end of 2011, but then not anymore. We don't know how many cancellations there have been before the last compression(s).

    The S# was at about #1000 when signatures were announced as "sold out" beginning of 2012.

    So it seems that the S# numbers contain holes for the SSL# numbers, as we think they have a total of 1000 and the highest S# at that time was #1000.

    Meanwhile the S# is at 1278, so there must have been at least 278 cancellation, deferrals or processing glitches. Theoretically possible that in some cases, things got messed up during the reservation process and they created a new reservation instead of fixing the existing one, even though nobody cancelled.

    In any case, if we assume that there are still about 1000 signature cars being delivered, then the numbering through 1278 (now) contains 278 holes.

    So the number of still valid non-SSL signature reservations is now maybe 500 less than 1278, but 244 of those 500 are still valid SSL reservations.

    The sequence of numbers up to 1278 includes plain valid S# (non-SSL) reservations, gaps for SSL numbers (where the SSL number is not the same number as the number of the gap), and gaps for cancellations/glitches.

    According to this interpretation, assuming a total of 1000 signature cars will be built, there are 278 cancellations/glitches, plus some cancellations before the last compression(s) of the list(s) took place. (Except for changes in the last few days).
    Buying an EV is one thing, being able to drive it beyond city limits another...

  2. #1422
    TSLA will win Norbert's Avatar
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    I should add that since we are talking about signature numbers, in most cases "cancellations" may be just "downgrades"/deferrals postponing to a later production reservation.
    Buying an EV is one thing, being able to drive it beyond city limits another...

  3. #1423
    Model S - R140
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    It's interesting to hear that this came from a senior source, but I've read many times that SSL 4 might be in the spot of S 42, and that the SSL deliveries (like their configurations) will skip around the S numbers until all of the SSLs have been exhausted.

  4. #1424
    Model Sig 304, VIN 542 Arnold Panz's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by aviators99 View Post
    It's interesting to hear that this came from a senior source, but I've read many times that SSL 4 might be in the spot of S 42, and that the SSL deliveries (like their configurations) will skip around the S numbers until all of the SSLs have been exhausted.
    The lists should all be sequentially logical now. In other words, Sig Specials 1-244 (with probably a few gaps for people who canceled/downgraded etc.) go first, followed by regular Sigs 1-1247 (with around 500+ gaps spread throughout the sequence), then Rs, then Ps. They don't have to "bounce around" to get to the SSLs -- all of the SSLs were contacted first before any regular Sigs, and this is roughly the order in which the cars will be delivered, presumably.

  5. #1425
    Truly Electric Spaceship-Like Adventure ~ Signature Model Spaceship

    PLEASE NOTE: these musings are the copyrighted intellectual property of the author, and are intended as part of a conversation among the Tesla Motors Clubs membership. My words may not be quoted by any third party outside the Tesla Motors Clubs forums, without my expressed consent. Especially the NYT, which is clearly ethically challenged.

  6. #1426
    Now P76 before P121
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    On a Norwegian EV-board I've learned that someone just ordered and got #P1139 for Europe obviously.

    Cobos

  7. #1427
    Volt '10 -- Model S '13?
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    Quote Originally Posted by brianman View Post
    +1 to FAQ Wiki desperately needed
    I'm one of the first Chevy Volt owners. Over at the Chevy Volt analog to this site, gm-volt.com/forum , back in Dec 2010 as the first cars came out of Hamtramck I also saw a desperate need for a FAQ there. So I simply created a new thread, and in the first post I started building the FAQ. As new data came in, I edited it into that post.

    The one big drawback is that only I can edit it. Well, I and anyone with mod authority. So, if you're hanging out here anyway, and willing to put some significant time into it at first, it's a good way to start. Also, the heavy users of the forum started putting a link to my FAQ into their forum sigs, so that when someone posted a query, they could simply say "check out the FAQ, see link in my sig".

    Then you have something to point to to show the value of having a FAQ.

    Below is a link to the Chevy Volt FAQ I built. At some point it got so big I had to get the mod to increase the max allowable post size. With that in mind, you might want to make multiple posts right at the beginning of the new FAQ thread, so you can split the data over a couple posts and avoid the size limit.

    http://gm-volt.com/forum/showthread....sked-Questions

    In short, you already have the power to do something about it, so get to work!

    And now back to lurking for me ...
    Last edited by ChrisC; 08-03-2012 at 02:50 PM.

  8. #1428
    Model S VIN P01536 Robert.Boston's Avatar
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    Quote Originally Posted by ChrisC View Post
    I'm one of the first Chevy Volt owners. Over at the Chevy Volt analog to this site, gm-volt.com/forum , back in Dec 2010 as the first cars came out of Hamtramck I also saw a desperate need for a FAQ there. So I simply created a new thread, and in the first post I started building the FAQ. As new data came in, I edited it into that post.

    The one big drawback is that only I can edit it. Well, I and anyone with mod authority. So, if you're hanging out here anyway, and willing to put some significant time into it at first, it's a good way to start. Also, the heavy users of the forum started putting a link to my FAQ into their forum sigs, so that when someone posted a query, they could simply say "check out the FAQ, see link in my sig".
    The TMC admins are working towards having a Wiki-like add-on to these boards that will allow this sort of FAQ to be created yet allow editing access to a subset of TMC members.

  9. #1429
    @Robert - Yah, that's what I was told as well. Hence holding back a bit.
    Truly Electric Spaceship-Like Adventure ~ Signature Model Spaceship

    PLEASE NOTE: these musings are the copyrighted intellectual property of the author, and are intended as part of a conversation among the Tesla Motors Clubs membership. My words may not be quoted by any third party outside the Tesla Motors Clubs forums, without my expressed consent. Especially the NYT, which is clearly ethically challenged.

  10. #1430
    Roadster #1144 + Sig 114 dsm363's Avatar
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    Just heard from a friend who has a Sig Special reservation number in the late 30s that his delivery will be at the end of this month! They're starting to make progress. I still haven't gotten my e-mail yet about delivery but expect it by the end of the month as well.
    Last edited by dsm363; 08-04-2012 at 05:09 PM.

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