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Best Guess for NSW Q3-2015 Tesla Registrations

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Best Guess for NSW Q3-2015 Tesla Registrations

In another week or so NSW Roads will announce their Registrations for Q3 2015.
To provide a build up for the Oz component of their Tesla Registrations, what would be your best guess for NSW - as this seems to be the only data source that has been available as a guide to sales.
Closest to the actual number will be deemed 'Best Predictor'

The stats for NSW so far have been: (Total - 150 end Q2 2015)

Q4 2014 - 65
Q1 2015 - 54
Q2 2015 - 31
Q3 2015 - ??

my guess for Q3 2015 is 70​ but I hope it is more.

What is your best guess for Q3 2015 in NSW???

Aussie Yank - 125
cynix - 109
Dborn - 98
baillies - 88
TesAus - 80
Brewster - 70
ICUDoc - 67
Trav - 61
 
Last edited:
Hi Brewster,
RMS will stop counting in a few days, but it typically takes about 6 weeks before the data gets updated from prior experience.

I can't remember where, but some of us had already taken a guess I think. Given I can't remember it is probably best to start again as you have!!

- - - Updated - - -

I will go for 80
 
Still no Q3 rego data for NSW but I though I would post the figures so far

Quarter YearNumber of Teslas RegisteredIncrease on last period
Q3 20142
Q4 201465+63
Q1 2015119+54
Q2 2015150+31
Q3 2015??????

The data is available here.

P.S the original figure of 2 for Q3 2014 was deduced by subtracting the new registrations for 2014 from the total number of registrations in Q4 2014.
 
Still no Q3 rego data for NSW but I though I would post the figures so far

Quarter YearNumber of Teslas RegisteredIncrease on last period
Q3 20142
Q4 201465+63
Q1 2015119+54
Q2 2015150+31
Q3 2015??????
The data is available here.

P.S the original figure of 2 for Q3 2014 was deduced by subtracting the new registrations for 2014 from the total number of registrations in Q4 2014.

I assume Tesla Roadsters would be included in the total for Teslas. Anyone have an idea on the number of roadsters there are registered in NSW? Any?
 
I assume Tesla Roadsters would be included in the total for Teslas. Anyone have an idea on the number of roadsters there are registered in NSW? Any?

The only one I have seen was the red Series 2 Roadster driven by Jay McCormack when he was Sales manager.
I imagine it was re-sold when he left and may have gone interstate.
There was a blue (Non Autopilot) Model S that was registered earlier in the year for test drives and compliance, but again it may have been sold and gone interstate.
 
I assume Tesla Roadsters would be included in the total for Teslas. Anyone have an idea on the number of roadsters there are registered in NSW? Any?

Given there are no Teslas listed in the tally prior to Q3 2014 I would have to assume that the Roadsters were and still are listed under the 'other' category and that the Tesla total is only for Model S. The 2 in Q3 would have been the first of the demonstrators.

There are at least three Roadsters currently registered in NSW that have been photographed in the Spotted thread, there are probably at least double, more likely triple or more that number in NSW.