So, last year I started a thread (poll) about whether or not Tesla would make their 2014 supercharger map predictions. (They did not.) I figure it's time for one for 2015... although it seems I can't make a poll anymore in this forum. Oh well, we know how it'd go today.
As of today August 16, 2015, Tesla's supercharger map on their website looks like this:
Their current prediction map for 2015 looks like this:
To make it easier to visualize, here is a difference map:
Counting the missing pins I lost count after 80 or so.
And while the map style has changed since last year and it is difficult to make a difference map, it is worth noting what Tesla's end of 2015 predictions were less than a year ago:
Overall, at this point I think we're just going to have to assume that the predictive maps are just useless. Specifically the I-40 corridor was something on the original 2015 map that was something I was looking forward to, but looks like maybe 2016 now or later. In their defense they did add pins to I-81 through VA, which will be nice if they actually finish them.
According to supercharge.info ~76 superchargers have opened in North America in 2015 so far in the past 228 days. That's about a station every 3 days on average. With 137 days left in the year and 80+ stations to open to make the map, looks like we'll once again not even come close just like in 2014. And that's using their current 2015 map. If you use the original 2015 map... pfft. Would need some actual magic to make that happen.
So based on that and the fact that they missed the 2014 map by a substantial margin last year also, I'm going to say that the same will happen this year with the 2015 map. Maybe by 2017 or 18 we'll have something close to the original 2015 map.
As of today August 16, 2015, Tesla's supercharger map on their website looks like this:
Their current prediction map for 2015 looks like this:
To make it easier to visualize, here is a difference map:
Counting the missing pins I lost count after 80 or so.
And while the map style has changed since last year and it is difficult to make a difference map, it is worth noting what Tesla's end of 2015 predictions were less than a year ago:
Overall, at this point I think we're just going to have to assume that the predictive maps are just useless. Specifically the I-40 corridor was something on the original 2015 map that was something I was looking forward to, but looks like maybe 2016 now or later. In their defense they did add pins to I-81 through VA, which will be nice if they actually finish them.
According to supercharge.info ~76 superchargers have opened in North America in 2015 so far in the past 228 days. That's about a station every 3 days on average. With 137 days left in the year and 80+ stations to open to make the map, looks like we'll once again not even come close just like in 2014. And that's using their current 2015 map. If you use the original 2015 map... pfft. Would need some actual magic to make that happen.
So based on that and the fact that they missed the 2014 map by a substantial margin last year also, I'm going to say that the same will happen this year with the 2015 map. Maybe by 2017 or 18 we'll have something close to the original 2015 map.