Teslas Sold in UK 2014 Q4

martinwinlow · Apr 19, 2015

Latest vehicle registration data from HMG is out on their website:- 'Table VEH0128
Vehicles make and generic model name, Great Britain, quarterly from 1994'

https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/420353/veh0128.xls

~223 MS' were registered in the UK during Q4 of 2014 compared with 282 during Q3 and 191 in Q2 (none before that of course).

It's a shame all governments don't provide this data (perhaps they do?). But, why do we have to wait nearly 4 months for it? MW

J1mbo · Apr 19, 2015

I am sure the D announcement last year, and killing off the P and P+ (with no D availability until Q3 2015) had no effect on UK sales figures whatsoever....

panorman · Oct 6, 2015

The up to date list of Teslas registered in the UK as of end of March 2015 is here....

https://www.gov.uk/government/upload...53/veh0128.xls

These government stats say 1,046 in total

I wonder what Tesla UK say

Troy · Oct 6, 2015

panorman said:
The up to date list of Teslas registered in the UK as of end of March 2015 is here....
These government stats say 1,046 in total

The data shows end of June (Q2) and it is 1049. Q1 was 905. Quarterly change is 144. Monthly change is 48 units. UK is #9 in Europe. More details here.

mgboyes · Oct 6, 2015

Based on Q3/Q4 it looks like there'll be around 2350 by the end of 2015.

Troy · Oct 6, 2015

mgboyes said:
Based on Q3/Q4 it looks like there'll be around 2350 by the end of 2015.

Did you mean 1350? It 1049 at the end of Q2. Sales were 144 in Q2. That would be 288 estimated sales for Q3+Q4, bringing the total to 1049+288= 1337. The situation is like this:

Model	2015 Q2	2015 Q1	2014 Q4	2014 Q3	2014 Q2
TESLA MODEL		902	697	474	192
TESLA Model Missing	1	1	1	1	1
TESLA MODEL S	1046
TESLA Model Unknown	2	2	2	2	2
Vehicles on road	1049	905	700	477	195
Sales	144	205	223	282	195

chetalien · Oct 6, 2015

MY GB Rn number is 2502- assume there were 2501 MSs before me

gdavison · Oct 6, 2015

chetalien said:
MY GB Rn number is 2502- assume there were 2501 MSs before me

Reservation numbers and VINs are assigned randomly via Tesla, there is no way to guess how eitherequate to number of cars made

arg · Oct 7, 2015

Troy said:
Did you mean 1350? It 1049 at the end of Q2. Sales were 144 in Q2. That would be 288 estimated sales for Q3+Q4, bringing the total to 1049+288= 1337. The situation is like this:

Using Q1/Q2 sales to predict Q3/Q4 is completely inappropriate for the situation in the UK: Q1/Q2 sales were very depressed since most people ordering before the 'D' announcement already had their cars delivered by the end of Q4 '14, while many people ordering after the 'D' announcement ordered 'D' models which were not available in RHD until Q3.

So there's a significant backlog of orders that would normally have been delivered Q1/Q2 but are now expected to be delivered in Q3/Q4, while more recent orders should also be delivered without that extra delay - giving a surge in Q3/Q4.

I don't have any numbers to predict how big that surge might be.

mgboyes · Oct 10, 2015

Troy said:
Did you mean 1350? It 1049 at the end of Q2. Sales were 144 in Q2. That would be 288 estimated sales for Q3+Q4, bringing the total to 1049+288= 1337. The situation is like this:

Model 2015 Q2 2015 Q1 2014 Q4 2014 Q3 2014 Q2
TESLA MODEL
902 697 474 192
TESLA Model Missing 1 1 1 1 1
TESLA MODEL S 1046

TESLA Model Unknown 2 2 2 2 2
Vehicles on road 1049 905 700 477 195
Sales 144 205 223 282 195

a

No I mean 2350.

TMUK are currently delivering about 300 cars per month - delivery volumes are through the roof. West Drayton alone is doing 10 per day.

The delays on the D models basically killed UK deliveries for six months, but now they're catching up on the order backlog.

gdavison said:
Reservation numbers and VINs are assigned randomly via Tesla, there is no way to guess how eitherequate to number of cars made

This is not the "reservation number" you see on the dashboard. Some clever chap over on speakev.com noticed that if you have a reservation then in the "My Tesla" pages there's a button where you can click to add a 4 year servicing package. And when you click that, at the bottom of service signup page there's a footer that lists your VIN and also a never before seen "GB#XXXX" sequence number.

Those numbers appear to increment in strict order of reservation (two friends ordered their cars moments apart and their GB# numbers are adjacent).

My P90D (being delivered in about 3 weeks) is GB#1956 (and I've managed to figure out that my original P85 was GB#365).

The people who are being told "in time for Christmas" delivery have GB# numbers in the 2300s so I am pretty confident about my end of year guess.

The current order rate isn't as fast as the current delivery rate though; Q3 and Q4 2015 will be bumper quarters but volumes will fall back a little in early 2016 I'd say.

Sirguydo · Oct 15, 2015

As the £5000 ev rebate fund is about to run out I'm sure sales will falter for a while but when I tell business associates about getting a model S they all seem very interested when you tell them they can have M5 performance and quality for only £70 a month BIK

mgboyes · Oct 16, 2015

Sirguydo said:
As the £5000 ev rebate fund is about to run out

No it's not.

It's been guaranteed to the end of 2015, and is then being replaced with a new fund which is 99% certain to be at least as generous for zero emissions cars as the current one is.

Dan43 · Oct 16, 2015

Thats interesting thanks, will look at this as it comes in.

mgboyes said:
No it's not.

It's been guaranteed to the end of 2015, and is then being replaced with a new fund which is 99% certain to be at least as generous for zero emissions cars as the current one is.

gbjk · Oct 20, 2015

mgboyes said:
No I mean 2350.
This is not the "reservation number" you see on the dashboard. Some clever chap over on speakev.com noticed that if you have a reservation then in the "My Tesla" pages there's a button where you can click to add a 4 year servicing package. And when you click that, at the bottom of service signup page there's a footer that lists your VIN and also a never before seen "GB#XXXX" sequence number.

Those numbers appear to increment in strict order of reservation (two friends ordered their cars moments apart and their GB# numbers are adjacent).

My P90D (being delivered in about 3 weeks) is GB#1956 (and I've managed to figure out that my original P85 was GB#365).

Very cute! Mine is 2013, and I'm expecting delivery around November 13th.

blackmonday · Oct 20, 2015

Min is 2,371 and delivery hasn't been confirmed beyond "January". The original delivery quoted was early November so I'm hoping it doesn't slip more as January will be the 7 month mark from order confirmation.

Belly Buster · Oct 20, 2015

blackmonday said:
Min is 2,371 and delivery hasn't been confirmed beyond "January". The original delivery quoted was early November so I'm hoping it doesn't slip more as January will be the 7 month mark from order confirmation.

What is the reason for the long lead time and slip in delivery date?

blackmonday · Oct 21, 2015

No reason has been given. I've asked repeatedly but as with most communications with Tesla since my order was confirmed, I hear mostly silence.

Just a guess but it may be that Tesla wait until they have a certain number of cars built for UK orders and then ship them at the same time to reduce cost. Or maybe there is something about the specification that has caused a delay due to parts shortage? Until Tesla confirm it's anyone's guess as to why.

gbjk · Oct 22, 2015

blackmonday said:
Min is 2,371 and delivery hasn't been confirmed beyond "January". The original delivery quoted was early November so I'm hoping it doesn't slip more as January will be the 7 month mark from order confirmation.

I'm surprised; I'd have expected december.
I confirmed middle of June, so I'm getting 5 months.

Are your details in the google spreadsheet? Model S Order Delivery - Google Sheets

mgboyes · Oct 23, 2015

GB#2519 has apparently just gone into production, so with nearly 10 weeks until the end of the year I'd say it stands a fighting chance of getting delivered in 2015.

chetalien · Oct 23, 2015

GB#2502- mine says entered production queue- of course mine is just a poor spec 70d. So not sure how accurate the updates are or for that matter the DSs are.

Teslas Sold in UK 2014 Q4

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