Did I just take someone's Reservation #?

tanner · Feb 13, 2015

Apparently Tesla has over 20,000 reservations (not counting cancelations, as pointed out here on the forums: Just Reserved, YAY! # In Line Mirrors: Conflicting Stories?!), yet when I placed my reservation earlier this week, I received the following sequence number: 15,827. Is it possible Tesla bumped me ahead of others? There's CERTAINLY a huge gap between 15.8k and 20k... So unless Tesla is over-inflating their numbers, that has to be the case, right? Thank you in advance for your replies.

AnOutsider · Feb 13, 2015

tanner said:
Apparently Tesla has over 20,000 reservations (not counting cancelations, as pointed out here on the forums: Just Reserved, YAY! # In Line Mirrors: Conflicting Stories?!), yet when I placed my reservation earlier this week, I received the following sequence number: [FONT=arial, sans-serif]15,827. Is it possible Tesla bumped me ahead of others? There's CERTAINLY a huge gap between 15.8k and 20k... So unless Tesla is over-inflating their numbers, that has to be the case, right? Thank you in advance for your replies. [/FONT]

It's also very possible you got US production #15,XXX and their numbers include sigs and EU reservations as well.

tanner · Feb 13, 2015

AnOutsider said:
It's also very possible you got US production #15,XXX and their numbers include sigs and EU reservations as well.

That's very true as well... I just assumed they'd roll all reservations into one. I'd be curious to find out which of the two scenarios reflects the true though.

ItsNotAboutTheMoney · Feb 13, 2015

tanner said:
That's very true as well... I just assumed they'd roll all reservations into one. I'd be curious to find out which of the two scenarios reflects the true though.

Different regions, different numbers, I believe, since they won't start deliveries everywhere immediately.

tanner · Feb 13, 2015

ItsNotAboutTheMoney said:
Different regions, different numbers, I believe, since they won't start deliveries everywhere immediately.

Question answered, thank you.

That means I can likely expect delivery early - mid 2016, correct?

ohmman · Feb 13, 2015

tanner said:
That means I can likely expect delivery early - mid 2016, correct?

I'd be careful with the word "expect". I'm lower 8k on reservations, and I *hope* to get mine by summer 2016.

tanner · Feb 13, 2015

ohmman said:
I'd be careful with the word "expect". I'm lower 8k on reservations, and I *hope* to get mine by summer 2016.

Huh, Tesla told me over those phone (from several reps) that those in the US who order "today should expect theirs to be delivered sometime between early to mid 2016"?

bonnie · Feb 13, 2015

tanner said:
Huh, Tesla told me over those phone (from several reps) that those in the US who order "today should expect theirs to be delivered sometime between early to mid 2016"?

Over two years ago, they told me to expect delivery of my X in short order. We know how that turned out.

I'd go with 'hope'. As in I personally hope to see my X in September (even though they said August), but think it's more likely by EOY.

tanner · Feb 13, 2015

bonnie said:
Over two years ago, they told me to expect delivery of my X in short order. We know how that turned out.

I'd go with 'hope'. As in I personally hope to see my X in September (even though they said August), but think it's more likely by EOY.

Yikes... I know there have been setbacks, as I've been following them, but you'd think once they get it into production that things would go more smoothly than they did with the S. I mean, they just recently completed a retrofit of their manufacturing facilities and are able to crank the S out in high numbers: Factory Upgrade | Tesla Motors

BerTX · Feb 13, 2015

tanner said:
Yikes... I know there have been setbacks, as I've been following them, but you'd think once they get it into production that things would go more smoothly than they did with the S. I mean, they just recently completed a retrofit of their manufacturing facilities and are able to crank the S out in high numbers: Factory Upgrade | Tesla Motors

Yes, we would like for things to be smooth and no production problems or last-minute modifications required. We have learned to EXPECT delays. Tesla is a growing company, a company that is "not normal". Expect the unexpected -- sometimes good, sometimes bad.

Me, I'm almost hoping for early 2016 for my delivery so it will be a "2016" model (meaningless, but not really), and in hopes that not many people have cancelled their reservation (unless they bought a Model S instead).

ronmerkord · Feb 13, 2015

As Sig#1015, we are sure hoping for delivery by Thanksgiving. I'm starting to get used to seeing my "X-ero CO2" license plate on my truck, and the plate really gives people the wrong idea on a Ford F-350.

Still, I'm still highly confident that the car is going to be worth the wait. By this time next year, everyone is going to be talking about the X.

tanner · Feb 13, 2015

ronmerkord said:
As Sig#1015, we are sure hoping for delivery by Thanksgiving. I'm starting to get used to seeing my "X-ero CO2" license plate on my truck, and the plate really gives people the wrong idea on a Ford F-350.

Still, I'm still highly confident that the car is going to be worth the wait. By this time next year, everyone is going to be talking about the X.
View attachment 72146

Nice - that's classic

And if the (likely) delays are as long as the individuals in this thread are suggesting, I probably won't take delivery until 2017, HA!

timf · Feb 13, 2015

tanner said:
Nice - that's classic
And if the (likely) delays are as long as the individuals in this thread are suggesting, I probably won't take delivery until 2017, HA!

Don't mind the pessimists. The Model X rollout will go much faster than the Model S rollout. Elon already called for 30,000-50,000 deliveries in 2016, which would take care of all current reservations within the first half of the year. The biggest uncertainty is with the earlier reservations, as slight changes in the production rate could push the delivery date by several weeks or months.

tanner · Feb 14, 2015

timf said:
Don't mind the pessimists. The Model X rollout will go much faster than the Model S rollout. Elon already called for 30,000-50,000 deliveries in 2016, which would take care of all current reservations within the first half of the year. The biggest uncertainty is with the earlier reservations, as slight changes in the production rate could push the delivery date by several weeks or months.

I definitely hope you're right, especially considering the fact that Tesla just recently upgraded/retooled their factory.

johnnyS · Feb 14, 2015

If the model S is a comparison, expect delays in production. However, a high percentage of people with a reservation will also delay or cancel. My model S reservation was in the 4000s and my model S vin number is in the 2000s. To get an early model S, we had to order an 85 with air suspension. There may be similar requirements for the model X.

tanner · Feb 14, 2015

johnnyS said:
If the model S is a comparison, expect delays in production. However, a high percentage of people with a reservation will also delay or cancel. My model S reservation was in the 4000s and my model S vin number is in the 2000s. To get an early model S, we had to order an 85 with air suspension. There may be similar requirements for the model X.

Yeah, there have certainly been delays, considering initial production was slated for 2013... Haha... That being said, you'd think their factory could handle it at this point (once manufacturing starts), especially with having recently updating it and all they've learned thus far.

EchoDelta · Feb 14, 2015

Bonnie has good sanity advice..
Hope to, aspire to, dream of deliveries mid 2016.
But expect the unexpected.

tanner · Feb 15, 2015

EchoDelta said:
Bonnie has good sanity advice..
Hope to, aspire to, dream of deliveries mid 2016.
But expect the unexpected.

Haha... It'll happen.

achaar · Feb 15, 2015

As a point of reference, I reserved in early October and my number is 2000 lower than yours, so around 500 or so reservations per month.

tanner · Feb 15, 2015

achaar said:
As a point of reference, I reserved in early October and my number is 2000 lower than yours, so around 500 or so reservations per month.

Nice! I see you have a brown S, any regrets there? What color do you think you'll go with for the X?

Did I just take someone's Reservation #?

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