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  1. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yeah those were some weird claims for sure. Especially when it was clear that the potential range of the cameras was sufficient for these specific cases (there are issues of reliability of perception that are TBD of course). I am just of the opinion that L3 or higher cannot be done with...
  2. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD tweets

    Yes, good to see him keeping expectations reasonable for a change.
  3. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD tweets

    I do think it is extremely unlikely that even with the logical interpretation of known bugs including unknown bugs, that this Elon Tweet will have any grounding in reality for 12.4/12.5/12.6 or whatever. Of course he made no such commitment, making no mention at all of what version would...
  4. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD tweets

    I mean it seems clear that when all known bugs are fixed (which includes currently unknown bugs which become known once they cause problems), then it will be really good. Does not seem like he has made any commitments - if anything this Tweet backs way off of prior statements.
  5. AlanSubie4Life

    Elon: FSD Beta tweets

    But the unknown bugs will become known and then they will need to be fixed. That was my interpretation.
  6. AlanSubie4Life

    Elon: FSD Beta tweets

    But unknown bugs become known bugs at some point, and then become included in known bugs. So once enough bugs (known and also the known unknowns which become known and then are categorized as known per the Tweet) are fixed to get intervention rate low enough to have one intervention every...
  7. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD tweets

    I don’t understand how this is “doubling down on intervention rate.” He literally said nothing about the real intervention rate. All he said (in different words) is that when the intervention rate gets really really low, it will be really really low. Kind of tautological.
  8. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I don’t know! It’s surprising, isn’t it?
  9. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Thanks! But they have not fixed this. Any user of FSD can observe the regen bar and see (and of course feel) very small oscillations on many slowdowns with the most up-to-date release of 12.3.x. It’s not on every slow down but we can all observe it - you can see it on the many videos of...
  10. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Remember that once an unknown bug shows it is known. So unknown bugs are also known bugs according to this Tweet. I disengage routinely on many specific right turns. It’s pretty deterministic. Some are no issue so I can let it go. Others it does the same thing every time so I disengage...
  11. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Let me know when you can explain to me the need for testing. It’s somewhat plausible “once known bugs are fixed.” That phrase is doing a lot of work.
  12. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Agreed. We’ll see how it turns out.
  13. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    As you know, I have been a consistent contributor here, offering factual assessments of FSD for those who may not have it - for years now. Credibility levels quite high, even if not everyone agrees with the assessments. Nothing of late has altered that, in spite of people’s incoherent recent...
  14. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    True, except for how really no instructions needed; it happens automatically.
  15. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    What? Huh? I am just not even following at this point. I don’t need to test something if I know what will happen. This is all so weird. I don’t make it my objective in life to infuriate other drivers by stopping in all the wrong places and driving like a weirdo. There’s no reason to...
  16. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Never tested other drivers? How much writing do I have to do? Why would I need to test it? What? I pull aside and let them go in this hypothetical. It’s fine. I just identify, pass, or avoid them and move on. My life is a constant disappointment. This mischaracterizes what I have...
  17. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    No! It makes perfect sense!
  18. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Haha. This story definitely checks out. Makes perfect sense.
  19. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I don’t like to be embarrassed. I do think the type of roads matter a lot. I have high standards for a driver assist. It has to be spectacularly good. Nothing less will do. I don’t want to slow anyone down at any time when I am driving. Yes this is a big problem. As everyone has said...
  20. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Fortunately Teslas are good for a lot more than their garbage software. To be 100% clear - I expect v12 to continue to improve, somewhat significantly. I just don’t expect it to be competent. It’s over, folks. A dead end. Done. End of road for this hardware. Any major...
  21. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I don’t! Haven’t we learned anything over the last five years? Yeah, at some point patterns will be broken and the problems solved, but I see no evidence of that in the near future. It’s just a darn near impossible problem. Companies actually offering product for sale cannot even get...
  22. AlanSubie4Life

    Coronavirus

    Least surprising news ever: https://wapo.st/3VnatIP
  23. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I guess you are planning on improvement between the 12.3.1 and 12.4.1 release dates? I would assume 12.5 can not be expected before end of July. And will also be woefully insufficient. I didn’t watch the video. Thanks for the descriptions. It sounds awful, we are definitely screwed and the...
  24. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD tweets

    It’s a mistake any human could make, humans are so bad at driving. 😂 It’s all hopeless.
  25. AlanSubie4Life

    Coronavirus

    I’m living on the edge these days. I am going to start masking only in indoor crowded areas with long exposures. And maybe at work in certain situations (people love to come to work sick). On vacation I am not bothering to mask in hotel hallways, elevators, etc. I have seven vaccines so...
  26. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yep after 15k posts, about time to close the book on V12, and FSD in general. Wishful thinking is not a solution to autonomy. Maybe next hardware, but seems that a few more breakthroughs are also needed. Obviously it’s WAY more than a few missing cameras. Presumably these breakthroughs...
  27. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    No don’t own one. I had one for thirteen years and apparently they were so good they had still not updated the design (at all) when I sold it at 150k miles. Should have kept it in storage until 2022 or so; would have been an appreciating asset.
  28. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The Solterra is truly keeping with Subaru’s philosophy of yesterday’s technology today. Subaru has really outdone themselves. They achieved the pinnacle with the original WRX and ceased all further vehicle development, with a brief foray into cutting-edge paper head gasket technology and...
  29. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I only buy good EVs. That is why I have the Spark EV (best EV ever made, it terms of utility and value proposition - it was so good I had to buy at the end of my $50/mo or free or whatever lease on one of them), and the 2018 Model 3. They also both fit mountain bikes. Though “fit” is a...
  30. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yeah I have no doubt about that being a minimum requirement. As I have made clear, I am ambivalent about potential for future iterations. But adamant about current hardware.
  31. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yeah they will be keeping it under wraps until the big reveal. Buy now or be priced out forever.
  32. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It’s not happening (level 3 current hardware). Of course, no one can deny you your dreams, no matter how much they may try to tear them apart.
  33. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    It seems that only @aronth5 and @Daniel in SD think that we’ll be getting Level 3. And maybe @JulienW ? @Daniel in SD is really placing all his hopes in the Robotaxi Retrofit Reveal on 8/8. There are 8 letters after R in the alphabet; this is a significant fact many miss. Anyway it’s...
  34. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yeah that is exactly what I said. “Won’t fix having to use the accelerator.” However, there were multiple complaints, and manual mode fixes some of them (namely being able to reduce speed, which was a specific complaint). Advisable to read posts before disagreeing. We’ve been through this...
  35. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Manual mode! Won’t fix having to use the accelerator but you can certainly cap the speed using the scroll wheels. And no you cannot speed it up with the scroll wheels unless it is currently capped which is unusual (though possible). Added bonus (or detriment): it’s 100% identical to what...
  36. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Have you tried manual mode, lol? (Manual mode is identical to auto mode, as has been proven here, except for set speed offset.) Agreed it is terrible. The lane drifting is vaguely invigorating and amazingly consistent. I let it do a near kiss of a center divider right here at 50mph (usually...
  37. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Interesting, @Daniel in SD thinks Robotaxis are imminent (within next 5-10 years).
  38. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    No one with current vehicles is getting Robotaxis. People just need to get over it and stop dreaming silly dreams.
  39. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Even I (who thinks most people use their turn signals, because laws and such and general decency and desire to not get in an accident) believe that every driver has failed to use their turn signal where required at least once in their driving career.
  40. AlanSubie4Life

    Help: Horrific battery draining while parked in long term parking structure - I've got 12 days to go

    I suppose it is possible it started insanely hot and most of this was Cabin Overheat in the 10 hours it was active. In any case, very easy to tell if there is any question about it at the time.
  41. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I’ve paid attention to this before (recently!) and it is a remarkably high percentage of people who use turn signals when needed to signal their intent to turn. Certainly way more than half! Just good drivers in my area I guess. I am curious what the actual numbers are.
  42. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Evidence needed. People like to make this claim; I have never seen it backed up. Obviously 100% of drivers don’t use their turn signals sometimes. But that’s of course not the claim being made here.
  43. AlanSubie4Life

    Help: Horrific battery draining while parked in long term parking structure - I've got 12 days to go

    The energy screen should give an idea of what is happening. If it is essentially uncategorized there could be an issue. But probably something mundane.
  44. AlanSubie4Life

    Help: Horrific battery draining while parked in long term parking structure - I've got 12 days to go

    This seems poor given the setup. What happened, according to the screen?
  45. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Not enough GPUs? I have no idea at all.
  46. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yeah just wonder what happens when they do all that and get a super sharp 50/50. I guess eventually it becomes a very rare event. Who knows. I can’t imagine it working any time soon given the extremely primitive nature of AI right now. Got a decade or two probably to really be good...
  47. AlanSubie4Life

    What is the Tesla rated wH/mi for 2024 Model Y Long Range?

    Seen no reports yet from vehicles. 2024 was 304 last I heard. It’s just a constant. Can be completely unrelated to battery capacity.
  48. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Might have been looking too fast.
  49. AlanSubie4Life

    Range Loss Over Time, What Can Be Expected, Efficiency, How to Maintain Battery Health

    That is definitely fine to do. And the batteries have held up well regardless, so far. Some people just like to minimize their capacity loss to maximize utility of the vehicle - for those very long stretches that you talk about it's nice to not have to worry about a Supercharger stop. And...
  50. AlanSubie4Life

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The blue dot is an interesting touch to add real legitimacy. Maybe AI suggested that.