Welcome to Tesla Motors Club
Discuss Tesla's Model S, Model 3, Model X, Model Y, Cybertruck, Roadster and More.
Register

Search results

  1. dhanson865

    Coronavirus

    as far as I know my wife and I are still NoVids. I've had 3 vaccines in 2021, 2 vaccines in 2022, 1 vaccine in 2023. I haven't gotten a 2024 vaccine yet. I'm only using the masks to mow the lawn now. But I'm ready to mask up if things get bad again.
  2. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    General Lee wrap on a Cybertruck. Done well I'd say. The rebel flag was put on the tonneau cover so it can be rolled away and hidden. 4 pictures behind the first link, a video on the 2nd. https://www.reddit.com/gallery/1cuzi4z
  3. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I'd love to see that score for my car with FSD and the Fleet with FSD but to be clear on 12.3.x it'd be a poor score. FSD right now accelerates too hard (which isn't scored), brakes too hard (lowering score), follows too closely(lowering score for either forward collision warning and/or unsafe...
  4. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yes, by way of a concept called "survivorship bias". All the human left turns are recording using all the cameras, does not matter that the human can't look at all the data. Videos that end in a collision or near miss are excluded (all cameras are tied together as a set for a composite video, so...
  5. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I wish it could be so good that I don't notice the improvement. I mean sure I can have it drive me a dozen miles with no disengagements but the route from my work to a lunch spot just over 1 mile away is good for 3 different types of disengagements in less than a mile. One of those...
  6. dhanson865

    Boring Company

    Nice fud "the material was being dumped in a private lot to dry before being shipped elsewhere. The lot, which is being used by a contractor with a permit and permission to use the site for a storm drain project on Karen Avenue unrelated to the Boring Company’s tunnels, allowed the company to...
  7. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Yeah, I don't care what the requirements to use it are, if it can't handle a nice sunny day test it shouldn't get 10/10 ahead of Tesla on capabilities and performance.
  8. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I don't think I ever followed up with the actual prices I paid after getting the car. Vehicle 1 is a 2015 Nissan Leaf Vehicle 2 is a 2018 Tesla Model 3 and yes that is a 12 month price.
  9. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    You are on the Internet reading my post. I could care less, but if I did I wouldn't bother typing this. If I couldn't care less I wouldn't have bothered writing this. Anyone that says they couldn't care less and bothers to type out a big post, isn't speaking accurately or being honest.
  10. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    There are none yet, that was a feature that is to be added after the FSD is fully baked. They made some test units of a "snake" in a lab but never put one on a public charger. No one knows for certain when it does happen if it'll be the "snake" charger plug in method or if it will be an...
  11. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Yeah if you want a reminder of what the old school buyers paid for here is your wayback post @run-the-joules (hasn't posted here in a few years)
  12. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    No, the cars end users sit in won't have lidar. Not 1, Not 2, not 4, not 8. No vision won't be ditched, No vision won't be reduced, vision is all there is.
  13. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Reading between the lines I'd assume he is saying 12.4 is so good that nags will be rare enough you won't complain about them or nags are essentially gone in 12.4. If my interpretation is correct the update notes will be epic, and this thread will be on fire...
  14. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    He said final touches on 12.4 not final touches of 12.3 or 12.5 or anything after that. He just said final touches on 12.4. I swear reading comprehension is needed before you go off on a tangent.
  15. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Can someone explain the end of trip UI to me? FSD takes me to a point. It says before we get there I can press the accelerator to continue my trip. I don't want to go anywhere else so I let it bring the car to a stop. There doesn't seem to be any way to exit FSD at this point that doesn't...
  16. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    My 12.4 wish list don't use more than 2/3 throttle to accelerate to the speed limit on any road with a speed limit below 55 mph. don't use more than 1/2 throttle to accelerate to the speed limit on any road with a speed limit below 45 mph. don't use more than 1/3 throttle to accelerate to the...
  17. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    My trial doesn't end for another week. Yesterday I turned on FSD 12.3.5 until the first disengagement gave it the voice clip for why it disengaged and drove the rest of the day on my own Today I turned on FSD 12.3.6 and used it for multiple disengagements, none more than a tenth of a mile or...
  18. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Same, I got 12.3.5 less than 20 hours before I downloaded 12.3.6.
  19. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I just downloaded 12.3.5 (2024.3.20) and I have Intel crappy chip, and USS...2018 M3 LR AWD.
  20. dhanson865

    new Tesla Model 3 18" Photon Wheels - load rating?

    Of course the online store and the phone app don't give the option to order wheels without tires. I've put in a form request for information to see if they'll sell me 4 wheels without tires. If not I guess I'd be left with searching eBay or such for used aero pulls and photon pulls. I'd rather...
  21. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Only 8 days left to get 12.4.x out to me before I drop out. If they give me another free month I'll try it again after 12.4.x is released If they don't give me any free time I'll wait and use the base AP for a while. 12.3.3 and 12.3.4 didn't do anything well enough to get me to pay.
  22. dhanson865

    new Tesla Model 3 18" Photon Wheels - load rating?

    anyone know why they are listed as only compatible with 2024 cars? Any reason you can't put them on a 2018 or are they just being picky about selling to people that don't know how to spec wheels and proper tire sizes when using non standard configs?
  23. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    This trendline is only 4 years old, is it any better?
  24. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    hmm, my biggest account is Current 401k is similar Roth as well not counting my bitcoin, but tossing in my AMD stock in the fully taxable account I guess I'm at a similar ratio as you, but it's a present cash value comparison and a moderate uptick for TSLA would move it up to 99% of my...
  25. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    There was a time when basic Auto Pilot cost extra. For example in 2019 it was $3,000 but now it is free, that isn't because FSD price is going to zero, that's because FSD is building on top of the existing layers, to new capabilities. EAP was until very recently a layer between AP and FSD with...
  26. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Well unless 12.4 comes out before May 6th I'm going to drop out of the FSD cool kids club and take other software update path. If this or another similar thread says it's worth it I might pay for FSD some day down the road but for now it's free or no FSD for me. Enough so that I'm willing to...
  27. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Similar here, much smaller town, shorter turn lane correct behavior for the left turn is to stay left of the gore, but as it approaches the FSD waffles between going left of it or right of it with a lunge to the right at the point so I disengage to get in the left turn lane before it's so...
  28. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Not the entire fleet, the new features in the UI require a Ryzen CPU. So those of us with cars older than 2022 won't see the new pretty UI and won't get some of the new 14.x features.
  29. dhanson865

    Blog Boring Company Opens Vegas Loop

    That's just begging to be an Urban set on a Stargate episode/movie one of these days. Very minor CGI to make it look like future earth or a city on another planet. Heck even non stargate SF franchises could make use of that with minor variations on a theme.
  30. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    "Human Reaction Time in Emergency Situations October 1, 2021 Reaction Time For Simple Tasks: Reaction time is defined simply as the time between a stimulus and a response. Human reaction time is sometimes quoted as a constant number: 0.2 seconds. While 0.2 seconds may be the average measured...
  31. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I have 12.3.3 and I've never gotten a software update on the car since I bought it. Bank A 2.17 GB Bank B 1.82 GB 2018 Model 3 LR AWD
  32. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    I've had that speed limit 5 mph bug in v12.3.3 so Chuck is wrong about it not being there. both 12.3.3 and 12.3.4 can randomly pick 5 mph as the speed limit and it will stay wrong in sections until you park and start over. I had it wrong in my entire neighborhood on 3 different streets, as...
  33. dhanson865

    Tesla Energy and utility scale projects

    I have a 3 ton HP so all I want is the cheapest Powerwall that can support my heat pump. I don't give a darn about days of coverage, if it can last through a KUB outage of several hours I can handle any down time on a multiday outage (like if the PV + PW can cover daylight plus a few hours I'm...
  34. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    The majority of the cost is setting up new servers (buying chips, installing in racks, etc), once they finish scaling to the desired size the ongoing costs drop quite a bit. On top of that the servers can be repurposed for the humanoid robot training if FSD becomes a solved problem moving costs...
  35. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    If they knew what they were talking about they'd harp on the fact that EAP/FSD isn't working on the delivered vehicles. That software issue makes them sound like prototypes, the delivery dates on actual hardware are a silly point to focus on.
  36. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    How many free FSD trials have there been? How many free FSD trials between now and robotaxi day (Aug 2024) Note: I want all the free trial months they'll give me, but they haven't got me putting down $12,000 yet.
  37. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    It's like you don't understand how a conversation works. Think of a party Person A: I like food, this party has OK food. Person B: I make food, I can make better food. Person C: Person A didn't say anything about making food you fool. Don't be person C. I did explain that I understood the...
  38. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    That dude doesn't know what he is talking about. He said rust on a disc makes the brakes stop working. Reality is that rusty discs grab better than smooth ones. Your brakes don't fail to work, they work better with rust on them.
  39. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I don't see them doing robotaxis with drum brakes, it requires more maintenance per mile (the assuming being robotaxis will do hundreds of thousands if not millions of miles). I don't see any point in talking about literally no physical brakes, I just joined in to mention that the majority of...
  40. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    You don't get rid of brakes completely but you get rid of quite a bit of brake weight. Look at the crazy big brake rotor on a Model S Plaid and the crazy big calipers and the pads even. Now compare those to a Toyota Tercel or a Nissan Sentra or the like. If you are designing the car for a...
  41. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Did another reboot, inspected the cameras all looks good. Went back to the same road and tried again. This time acceleration was much different. Strong but even acceleration from the stop to the speed limit. Then it failed to make a left turn at a light. I'll try more later
  42. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    1. The software is 2024.3.10 with FSD Supervised 12.3.3. I'm sure that was installed by the service center as prep for delivery. I don't know if the prior owner paid for the upgrade, I know I didn't pay for the upgrade. 3. I did double scroll wheel reset yesterday when I found a bug in the trip...
  43. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    OK, put more air in the tires this morning and took her out for a spin. Cameras went from 99% to 98% overnight (regressed while asleep) but made it to 100% while I was driving. Eventually I got to a side street, pulled into a marked space at the curb, put her in park and enabled Supervised...
  44. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    positive spin a Tesla involved in an accident for once https://interestingengineering.com/culture/tesla-model-y-saves-driver-in-shocking-crane-collapse
  45. dhanson865

    FSD v12.x (end to end AI)

    Took delivery today and got a used 2018 with 12.3.3. The car was $24,600 before tax credit and the tax credit has a cap at $25,000. I couldn't get permanent FSD and still get the $4,000 instant credit. The car was delivered with FSD 12.3.3 installed. I don't know if the prior owner paid for...
  46. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    The car was $24,600 before tax credit and the tax credit has a cap at $25,000. I couldn't get FSD and still get the $4,000 instant credit. The car was delivered with FSD 12.3.3 installed. I don't know if the prior owner paid for the FSD computer upgrade or if Tesla did it between owners...
  47. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    I'm literally picking up a 2018 Model 3 today. I don't know if the FSD hardware has been upgraded or not. I'll be in one of the legacy camps in a couple of hours, and I'm not even sure which subgroup. That doesn't change the shape of the curve to come.
  48. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    Change your though process slightly and you'll see that doesn't matter. production has been on a exponential curve. Just assume that all new cars sold after robotaxi goes live become robotaxi and zero existing cars become robotaxi and you still get a curve like he shows. Assume every HW 2.5...
  49. dhanson865

    Tesla, TSLA & the Investment World: the Perpetual Investors' Roundtable

    OK, confirmed, poor label on the slide. See assumption #5 The assumptions: 1) Tesla sells their vehicles at cost and only makes money from FSD software subscriptions and Robotaxi revenue. 2) Tesla has sold a cumulative 4.9 million vehicles as of 2023 Q2 and will sell a cumulative 130...